All about market timing by Leslie Masonson

By Leslie Masonson

Use industry timing to generate optimistic returns―with reduce volatility!

Events of the prior decade have confirmed past doubt that buy-and-hold innovations don’t paintings in undergo markets. industry timing, even if, is awfully powerful in declining markets―and it offers confident returns in bull markets, as well.

All approximately marketplace Timing, moment variation, bargains easy-to-use market-timing suggestions you could weave into your funding method. And it’s now not as complicated as you might imagine. very quickly, you’ll grasp the abilities you want to maximize gains whereas minimizing risk―no topic what course the marketplace takes. without the incomprehensible jargon and intricate theories of different books, All approximately marketplace Timing covers:

  • The 5 such a lot ecocnomic suggestions for timing the industry
  • The most sensible market-timing assets to be had this present day, from newsletters to websites to advisors
  • Four signs for selecting the market’s overall healthiness
  • Techniques for timing even the main bearish of markets

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Market timing can provide the tool you need to capture a fair percentage of these gains, as you shall see. SECULAR BULL AND BEAR MARKETS Bull and bear markets occur not only over short time frames but also over long time frames. Refer to Table 1-8, which depicts two longterm (secular) bull and two long-term bear markets for the period 1929–1999. This table was prepared by Dennis Tilley, Director of Research, Merriman Capital Management. 6 percent. But it was not all smooth sailing over that period.

News & World Report, Sept. 10, 2001. The data used by USN&WR was obtained from InvesTech Research and B and A Sector Watch. Note that the recovery time does not take into account dividends. L. Masonson adjusted 2000 data through October 2002 to be up-to-date. Note that it took more time to recover from every bear market there has ever been than the duration of the actual bear market itself. This last bear market was the third longest in duration since the Great Depression and the worst since 1938.

Clearly, mutual funds managers do not practice buy-and-hold with the funds entrusted to them, but somehow find it appropriate for the individual investments of their clients. I have already stated the reason for this which is that mutual funds cannot stay in business if the fund holders embark on large-scale redemptions from their funds. By implementing specific marketing-timing strategies, and by using specific sentiment indicators and internal market indicators, an investor can successfully time the market and avoid the major portion of down trends while being fully invested during the major portion of up trends.

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